Going wide: forecasting hundreds of questions

This week I'm releasing forecasts for hundreds of questions. The goal is to focus on the many diverging paths the world could take with AI over the coming years.

For each of the questions, I put GPT-6 Astra in an agentic harness to search the web and run code to build up its forecasts over the next 5 years. Each question page has the full forecast, the model's reasoning, and the criteria for how the question resolves. See the methodology page for more details.

As part of the effort to mass produce questions and forecasts, I'm only keeping binary questions at this point and have archived the others.

I'll re-run the forecasts regularly. If you would like to see any additional forecasts, please reach out.